CryptoPunk #9840 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Frumpy Hair, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8937 2024-11-27: 38.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8937 2024-11-24: 37.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-10-09: 34.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-09-29: 32.4 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8514 2026-09-28: 31.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2025-12-08: 30.1 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-10: 14.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 52.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 77.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-20: 26.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.