CryptoPunk #9841 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $73,450). 1σ range 27.8 to 33.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 6.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-14: 7.81 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-08: 87.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-09-19: 46.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.