CryptoPunk #9842 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.2 ETH (about $84,676). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.7 ETH, 5.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (40.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-09-22: 42.5 ETH (39.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9478 2026-08-24: 47.0 ETH (43.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7998 2026-06-19: 36.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8344 2026-05-19: 50.0 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-12: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-08: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-24: 59.9 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-10: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-30: 69.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-28: 66.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-11-12: 77.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-02-08: 78.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-02: 70.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.