CryptoPunk #9845 valuation (beta)
Male, Cap Forward, Cigarette, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $90,377). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6530 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (44.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4762 2025-10-30: 46.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3612 2025-07-28: 60.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6530 2025-07-20: 50.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3843 2025-06-26: 48.4 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6530 2025-06-12: 50.0 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-27: 125 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-05: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-07: 88.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.