CryptoPunk #9856 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Purple Hair, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.6 ETH (about $86,211). 1σ range 32.4 to 39.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 42.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.4 to 39.0 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 42.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6138 2025-10-22: 42.0 ETH (32.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4234 2025-08-05: 60.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #308 2025-05-24: 69.0 ETH (44.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5767 2025-05-09: 69.0 ETH (46.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5793 2025-01-20: 44.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5793 2024-11-30: 42.1 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9216 2026-10-30: 31.3 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-28: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-12: 1.80 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-26: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 14.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-21: 17.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-11: 22.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-10: 26.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.