CryptoPunk #9859 valuation (beta)
Male, Silver Chain, Mohawk Dark, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.4 ETH (about $83,471). 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5635 2026-10-04: 33.4 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6489 2026-10-02: 45.0 ETH (41.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2529 2026-10-02: 36.5 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-08-15: 0.11 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 2.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 29.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-20: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-18: 128 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.