CryptoPunk #986 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Peak Spike.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.5 ETH (about $82,878). 1σ range 32.8 to 40.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 40.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Smile +17%, Earring -2%, Peak Spike -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2025-10-24: 37.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2835 2025-10-09: 51.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7591 2026-09-25: 33.2 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4714 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-11-25: 42.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.