CryptoPunk #9860 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Shaved Head, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $78,494). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 41.7 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2535 2025-12-11: 34.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9335 2026-08-19: 33.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4523 2026-08-07: 58.0 ETH (53.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-27: 1.41 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-15: 1.87 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-08: 175 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.