CryptoPunk #9861 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Wild White Hair, Classic Shades, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.1 ETH (about $91,074). 1σ range 34.7 to 46.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 53.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.7 to 46.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 53.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Wild White Hair +35%, Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4405 2026-10-22: 88.0 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4281 2026-09-21: 43.0 ETH (41.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5067 2026-08-20: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-05-14: 60.0 ETH (60.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 42.0 ETH (43.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6753 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3490 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-10-27: 0.10 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2019-03-29: 0.99 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.