CryptoPunk #9864 valuation (beta)
Female, Orange Side, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.2 ETH (about $89,036). 1σ range 34.3 to 44.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 51.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.3 to 44.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 51.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Orange Side +27%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7973 2025-07-28: 58.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7973 2025-05-26: 55.0 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6370 2026-10-31: 36.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5264 2026-10-24: 31.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5264 2026-10-24: 30.2 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1603 2026-10-22: 62.0 ETH (59.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-10-08: 31.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-11-23: 0.16 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.