CryptoPunk #9865 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Vampire Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $68,966). 1σ range 27.8 to 33.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-10-30: 29.8 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7525 2026-01-24: 29.9 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7525 2025-12-24: 27.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8295 2025-11-03: 54.7 ETH (45.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7646 2025-10-06: 48.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7646 2025-10-04: 48.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7525 2025-08-08: 56.0 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-14: 26.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-12: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-18: 29.3 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-07: 100 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 105 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-29: 144 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.