CryptoPunk #9872 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $79,225). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 42.0 ETH, 3.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2956 2026-02-04: 29.4 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2956 2026-02-03: 28.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9987 2025-12-30: 29.9 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2565 2025-12-04: 33.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3716 2025-06-03: 47.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3716 2025-06-03: 45.9 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1270 2025-01-21: 61.0 ETH (49.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3330 2025-01-14: 48.0 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-07-16: 99.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-27: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.