CryptoPunk #9874 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.9 ETH (about $97,480). 1σ range 33.3 to 55.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 70.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 95.0 ETH, 3.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.3 to 55.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.9 to 70.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%.
- In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (131 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8123 2026-08-05: 41.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8564 2026-04-08: 31.0 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9447 2026-03-09: 45.0 ETH (45.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9788 2026-02-21: 52.7 ETH (53.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1831 2026-01-08: 60.0 ETH (62.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6615 2025-12-04: 48.0 ETH (47.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9968 2025-10-07: 58.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-27: 0.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-13: 10.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-17: 60.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-24: 50.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.