CryptoPunk #9900 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Do-rag.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.7 ETH (about $72,100). 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 9,900 ETH, 71.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 34.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 37.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6755 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-23: 49.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-20: 41.0 ETH (26.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9723 2025-06-06: 83.0 ETH (54.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4841 2025-01-31: 38.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4841 2025-01-19: 36.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4841 2025-01-14: 39.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4841 2024-12-15: 37.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-15: 19.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-12: 15.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-16: 16.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-29: 22.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.