CryptoPunk #9953 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Hoodie, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 114 ETH (about $260,136). 1σ range 60.5 to 216 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 409 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 114 ETH (beta), 1σ range 60.5 to 216 ETH, 2σ range 32.0 to 409 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9778 2025-05-31: 150 ETH (98.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8353 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-23: 88.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-23: 98.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-17: 400 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.