CryptoPunk #1116 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Cowboy Hat.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 64.0 ETH (about $145,417). 1σ range 45.1 to 90.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 129 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 299 ETH, 4.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 64.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 45.1 to 90.7 ETH, 2σ range 31.8 to 129 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3719 2026-05-15: 79.5 ETH (77.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3719 2024-12-02: 85.0 ETH (57.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3719 2024-11-30: 75.0 ETH (56.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9872 2026-10-03: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-01-14: 0.15 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-22: 49.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-15: 105 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.