CryptoPunk #1416 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Earring, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $71,571). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 37.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2595 2026-06-13: 31.9 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2595 2025-12-15: 26.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2595 2025-12-14: 26.3 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #926 2026-09-24: 32.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-24: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-03-28: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-09-17: 0.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-24: 5.30 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.