CryptoPunk #1417 valuation (beta)
Female, Stringy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.9 ETH (about $68,067). 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 55.8 ETH, 11.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Stringy Hair -3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2782 2026-01-02: 26.8 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2782 2024-12-04: 40.0 ETH (27.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #242 2026-10-01: 35.3 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8809 2026-09-23: 32.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #471 2026-09-23: 32.7 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6149 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-18: 0.90 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.55 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-16: 83.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 113 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-14: 46.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.