CryptoPunk #1613 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Headband, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.1 ETH (about $75,221). 1σ range 30.5 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 58.5 ETH, 7.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 35.9 ETH, 2σ range 28.2 to 38.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7463 2026-02-26: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-19: 31.9 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-12: 33.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-20: 46.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-16: 43.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-08: 42.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3331 2025-04-21: 53.0 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-07: 53.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-30: 119 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-21: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-25: 64.2 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2022-06-14: 47.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-16: 53.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-09-22: 44.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-24: 46.5 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-09-24: 48.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.