CryptoPunk #1621 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Clown Hair Green, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.0 ETH (about $68,279). 1σ range 28.5 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 33.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.5 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 33.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4381 2026-10-26: 31.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6326 2026-10-08: 51.5 ETH (47.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4381 2025-11-24: 31.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9152 2025-10-08: 49.6 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4381 2025-08-09: 55.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-14: 26.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-17: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-04: 0.01 ETH (accepted bid, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2022-12-06: 67.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-16: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-03: 42.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.