CryptoPunk #1628 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $69,958). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 58.1 ETH, 12.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Stringy Hair -3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5863 2026-04-08: 27.1 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5863 2026-04-05: 27.0 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5467 2025-09-23: 45.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6481 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #209 2024-12-02: 43.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #209 2024-12-01: 40.0 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #209 2024-11-15: 37.5 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4100 2024-11-15: 37.4 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-30: 15.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-07: 21.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-08-20: 23.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-02: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-03: 26.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-09-08: 29.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-28: 44.4 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-28: 44.9 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-08: 48.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.