CryptoPunk #1802 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Fedora, Cigarette, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.2 ETH (about $86,741). 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.8 to 43.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 48.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1839 2026-09-04: 162 ETH (158 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6530 2026-04-09: 37.3 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-02-16: 29.1 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8530 2025-10-31: 54.0 ETH (43.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7012 2025-10-27: 49.0 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-06-27: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2019-06-14: 1.75 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-24: 5.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-20: 59.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-14: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-07: 98.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-13: 130 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.