CryptoPunk #1831 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Bandana, Medical Mask, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.0 ETH (about $81,827). 1σ range 32.5 to 39.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 44.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 125 ETH, 12.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.5 to 39.9 ETH, 2σ range 29.3 to 44.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9019 2024-12-10: 60.0 ETH (46.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9447 2026-03-09: 45.0 ETH (45.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2026-01-03: 29.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8086 2025-11-04: 33.5 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8335 2025-08-26: 51.2 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3302 2025-04-22: 51.0 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7163 2025-04-13: 62.5 ETH (44.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-09: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 85.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-05-30: 150 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2025-07-04: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-08: 60.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.