CryptoPunk #1864 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Clown Hair Green, Clown Eyes Blue.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.1 ETH (about $77,721). 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Clown Eyes Blue -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1026 2025-08-09: 54.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1026 2024-11-14: 33.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1026 2024-11-13: 30.9 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3667 2026-10-08: 31.7 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-10-06: 34.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #926 2026-09-24: 32.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-10: 0.40 ETH (sale)
- 2019-03-14: 0.65 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 123 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 147 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-10: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-10: 85.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-03-18: 68.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-18: 76.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.