CryptoPunk #2126 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Frumpy Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,370). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Frumpy Hair -7%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-08-21: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-11-05: 32.7 ETH (26.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7771 2025-10-09: 48.1 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7771 2025-10-06: 49.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-20: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-26: 20.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 23.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-12: 17.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-23: 81.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-01: 84.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-27: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-17: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-31: 68.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.