CryptoPunk #2303 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Fedora, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $80,341). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5495 2026-05-06: 33.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4794 2026-04-04: 38.0 ETH (40.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5269 2025-12-08: 29.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2404 2025-07-28: 52.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4794 2025-07-17: 46.7 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8215 2025-06-26: 46.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5495 2025-04-22: 51.5 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #450 2025-02-14: 42.5 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-21: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-25: 1.45 ETH (sale)
- 2020-06-02: 1.29 ETH (sale)
- 2020-07-09: 1.19 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-11: 1.40 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 98.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-11: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.