CryptoPunk #2309 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Earring, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.3 ETH (about $71,129). 1σ range 28.8 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.8 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 34.0 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 36.8 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard -7%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2642 2025-09-18: 52.1 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2642 2025-05-15: 49.1 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-29: 40.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7559 2026-09-09: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-27: 1.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-20: 1.95 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-26: 50.8 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-14: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-06-18: 52.0 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
- 2023-12-07: 59.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-02: 28.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.