CryptoPunk #2490 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Vampire Hair, Pipe, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $73,502). 1σ range 27.6 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.1 to 36.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 68.0 ETH, 8.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.6 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 25.1 to 36.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Vampire Hair -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4765 2025-10-10: 48.1 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4255 2026-09-02: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (43.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4255 2026-06-28: 32.8 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8492 2026-05-10: 32.8 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8492 2026-05-01: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8492 2026-04-28: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4126 2026-03-30: 31.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-20: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-01-16: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-23: 4.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-12-25: 6.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-07: 5.07 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-01: 55.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.