CryptoPunk #2581 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Cowboy Hat, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 75.2 ETH (about $171,060). 1σ range 49.0 to 116 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 177 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 98.0 ETH, 0.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 75.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 49.0 to 116 ETH, 2σ range 31.9 to 177 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Chinstrap -5%, Cowboy Hat +96%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9170 2026-02-06: 72.0 ETH (72.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-22: 47.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-18: 47.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-09: 54.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #750 2025-08-08: 52.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9488 2025-05-07: 42.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-06-20: 0.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2020-01-03: 0.60 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-22: 2.00 ETH (sale)
- 2020-08-15: 1.60 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-01-25: 5.98 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-27: 7.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-03: 10.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.