CryptoPunk #2654 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Straight Hair Dark, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.9 ETH (about $86,116). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.0 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9205 2025-10-04: 92.5 ETH (56.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2710 2026-09-21: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #563 2026-03-22: 35.4 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #563 2026-02-24: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2710 2026-02-05: 27.5 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-23: 36.5 ETH (40.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6667 2026-01-16: 25.6 ETH (26.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-04: 9.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-14: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-10: 21.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-04: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-24: 129 ETH (sale)
- 2023-12-16: 54.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-03-12: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-13: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-30: 86.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.