CryptoPunk #2825 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Bandana, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $83,724). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 69.0 ETH, 8.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2026-07-06: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4052 2026-05-15: 34.9 ETH (34.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4052 2026-05-13: 34.4 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2666 2026-01-02: 28.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2025-12-04: 30.6 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2025-12-03: 28.8 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-20: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-05-06: 0.38 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-28: 5.80 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-02: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-24: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-21: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-15: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-06-10: 55.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.