CryptoPunk #2978 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Pink With Hat, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.8 ETH (about $92,792). 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 47.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 55.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Pink With Hat +29%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4710 2026-07-22: 36.3 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4710 2026-03-05: 30.8 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5055 2026-02-26: 29.6 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5055 2026-02-12: 24.0 ETH (24.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5055 2025-08-13: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4368 2025-04-07: 42.5 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1418 2025-03-05: 57.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-08: 41.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-06: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 39.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-01: 56.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-08-09: 130 ETH (sale)
- 2023-05-12: 76.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2024-05-24: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-06-25: 36.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-25: 33.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-30: 34.6 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.