CryptoPunk #3421 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Bandana, Horned Rim Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,356). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6056 2026-01-08: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6056 2024-11-30: 49.7 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-04-01: 38.0 ETH (40.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2577 2026-03-08: 32.8 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2577 2026-03-06: 29.9 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6749 2026-03-04: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1831 2026-01-08: 60.0 ETH (62.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-23: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-27: 18.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-06: 15.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-06-15: 14.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-16: 20.3 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-26: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-29: 22.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 56.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.