CryptoPunk #3478 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk Thin, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.2 ETH (about $66,347). 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 60.0 ETH, 7.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5459 2026-07-04: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1393 2026-05-23: 33.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5459 2026-04-21: 30.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7625 2025-10-16: 47.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2451 2025-07-20: 43.0 ETH (27.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2451 2025-05-23: 48.7 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2451 2025-05-18: 45.9 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8028 2025-03-05: 38.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-19: 0.37 ETH (sale)
- 2018-01-07: 0.06 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2018-12-20: 0.29 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-01: 51.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-28: 55.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-12-01: 58.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-13: 28.3 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-16: 27.6 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-26: 30.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.