CryptoPunk #3684 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Gold Chain, Earring, Tiara.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 53.8 ETH (about $130,306). 1σ range 40.4 to 71.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 95.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 2,000 ETH, 12.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 53.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 40.4 to 71.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 95.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Tiara +71%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1914 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9546 2026-08-20: 40.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3190 2026-08-06: 34.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2120 2026-06-28: 100 ETH (93.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2903 2026-06-16: 32.7 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-12: 49.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.