CryptoPunk #3757 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Choker, Crazy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.2 ETH (about $82,208). 1σ range 32.8 to 39.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 43.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 128 ETH, 13.0σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 39.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 43.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Choker +18%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #602 2025-06-11: 55.5 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7136 2025-04-24: 50.0 ETH (34.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2735 2025-03-24: 41.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7942 2025-03-23: 51.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7136 2025-03-15: 39.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7942 2024-12-31: 45.0 ETH (36.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2202 2024-12-04: 125 ETH (84.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7136 2024-11-11: 28.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-12: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-16: 50.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-08: 60.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.