CryptoPunk #3825 valuation (beta)
Male, Do-rag, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.1 ETH (about $87,369). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (153 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9548 2026-06-05: 31.9 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-11-26: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-28: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-17: 73.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-28: 84.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-05: 0.10 ETH (accepted bid, not used: below-half-floor)
- 2022-06-18: 63.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-08: 84.6 ETH (sale)
- 2023-07-13: 57.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-19: 48.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-26: 49.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.