CryptoPunk #3834 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Frumpy Hair, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.0 ETH (about $72,864). 1σ range 29.6 to 34.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.6 to 34.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-08-29: 32.4 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-07-31: 35.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-04-07: 27.8 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2412 2026-03-25: 31.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8949 2026-02-12: 35.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3218 2026-02-05: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2309 2026-01-02: 28.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-08: 19.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-03-15: 22.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-03: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-13: 83.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.