CryptoPunk #3838 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Headband, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.5 ETH (about $100,447). 1σ range 35.8 to 48.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 55.6 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.8 to 48.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.9 to 55.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7232 2026-04-22: 29.6 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7232 2026-04-21: 26.0 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6867 2025-07-07: 47.0 ETH (36.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6867 2024-11-22: 44.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6968 2024-11-13: 39.0 ETH (36.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9589 2024-11-06: 28.9 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-12: 85.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.