CryptoPunk #3926 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Earring, Do-rag.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $80,026). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 65.0 ETH, 6.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9421 2025-08-06: 54.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9421 2025-07-20: 52.0 ETH (33.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9950 2026-08-08: 39.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5322 2026-08-03: 34.9 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4325 2026-07-25: 38.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-17: 0.75 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-06: 64.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-06: 72.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-12: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-20: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-02: 62.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-04-02: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-04-04: 66.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-20: 49.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.