CryptoPunk #4046 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Mole, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $69,958). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 37.0 ETH, 3.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Stringy Hair -3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1452 2026-09-23: 35.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-08-27: 31.8 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-08-27: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-08-19: 31.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-08-16: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-07-25: 31.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2876 2026-07-18: 30.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-04: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-08: 1.20 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-28: 5.99 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-12: 16.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-14: 19.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-16: 67.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-24: 49.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-09: 54.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-30: 30.7 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2025-11-30: 30.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.