CryptoPunk #4153 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Wild White Hair, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 41.3 ETH (about $93,839). 1σ range 35.3 to 48.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 56.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 41.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 48.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 56.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Wild White Hair +35%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4846 2026-04-19: 33.5 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4846 2026-04-18: 24.5 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9727 2026-01-25: 27.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7083 2025-12-27: 33.8 ETH (37.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4101 2025-10-27: 43.5 ETH (33.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7083 2024-12-01: 46.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-30: 29.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3364 2026-10-28: 28.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-10: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-22: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-31: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-05-20: 38.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-06-14: 41.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.