CryptoPunk #4161 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Mohawk Dark.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2127 2026-01-15: 29.4 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8544 2025-07-20: 45.9 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8544 2025-06-27: 41.9 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9912 2026-09-18: 35.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-04: 29.1 ETH (27.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 7.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 13.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 23.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-05: 29.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-04: 110 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-09: 79.4 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-08: 68.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-04: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-30: 47.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-30: 52.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.