CryptoPunk #4209 valuation (beta)
Male, Bandana, Vape, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $74,356). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2666 2026-01-02: 28.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9472 2025-10-01: 50.7 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1525 2025-04-29: 52.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-21: 42.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2025-04-16: 42.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2362 2025-03-24: 42.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7962 2025-01-19: 50.0 ETH (39.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-07-25: 1.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-26: 3.75 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-13: 24.2 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-03: 27.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.