CryptoPunk #4312 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Headband, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.3 ETH (about $80,341). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8272 2026-09-23: 34.6 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4164 2026-08-20: 35.6 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4256 2026-07-21: 33.4 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8716 2025-04-26: 46.7 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5500 2025-03-31: 48.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4550 2025-02-06: 44.5 ETH (35.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4550 2025-02-06: 42.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4550 2025-02-04: 42.0 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2019-12-26: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-09: 6.60 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-10: 19.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-14: 27.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-04: 15.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-30: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-04: 50.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-09-21: 54.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.