CryptoPunk #4368 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Earring, Headband, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.4 ETH (about $69,131). 1σ range 28.8 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.8 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 33.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Headband -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5055 2026-02-26: 29.6 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5055 2026-02-12: 24.0 ETH (24.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5055 2025-08-13: 55.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1721 2026-11-03: 33.8 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #874 2026-10-30: 28.9 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-09-01: 31.7 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2403 2026-08-27: 31.8 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2131 2026-08-18: 32.2 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-24: 85.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-09-28: 109 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-09-30: 116 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-04: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-27: 70.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-07: 42.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.