CryptoPunk #4378 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Mohawk Dark, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.0 ETH (about $91,022). 1σ range 35.1 to 45.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.1 to 45.7 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 52.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Mohawk Dark -8%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8655 2026-07-04: 35.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-06-05: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2026-03-16: 33.0 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8056 2026-03-10: 50.0 ETH (50.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9305 2026-02-11: 31.0 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8863 2025-07-20: 52.4 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-04: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-25: 89.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.