CryptoPunk #4426 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Goat, Bandana, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.8 ETH (about $72,334). 1σ range 29.1 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 38.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 42.5 ETH, 3.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 34.8 ETH, 2σ range 26.6 to 38.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Goat -7%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2687 2026-08-31: 35.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-15: 34.9 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4052 2026-05-13: 34.4 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-01-14: 4.40 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-01-15: 4.44 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-06: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-02-13: 75.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-11-10: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-15: 48.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.