CryptoPunk #4435 valuation (beta)
Male, Mole, Gold Chain, Front Beard, Cap, Regular Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.2 ETH (about $73,311). 1σ range 29.5 to 35.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 38.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 125 ETH, 15.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 35.2 ETH, 2σ range 27.0 to 38.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mole -7%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5975 2026-08-30: 34.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8788 2026-04-28: 31.2 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6755 2026-02-23: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1834 2026-02-20: 36.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5122 2026-01-22: 27.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5122 2026-01-21: 25.7 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.