CryptoPunk #4493 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 27.5 ETH (about $62,437). 1σ range 24.5 to 30.8 ETH, 2σ range 21.8 to 34.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 27.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.5 to 30.8 ETH, 2σ range 21.8 to 34.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-04-27: 30.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1054 2025-11-05: 35.3 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1054 2025-10-06: 48.9 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4866 2025-02-05: 40.3 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4866 2024-12-18: 40.3 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-26: 2.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-01-24: 4.31 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.